Acireale vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+158%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACI
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ACI
1 - 0
ISO
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 3
ACI
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 0
EBO
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AEE
2 - 1
ACI
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PPI
0 - 1
NOC
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 0
ACP
84%
12%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
NOC
13%
17%
69%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |