Acireale vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TAR
0 - 1
ACI
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ACI
0 - 0
USF
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SSS
1 - 2
ACI
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
ACI
0 - 2
PAL
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ACI
2 - 1
COS
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 3
VIS
45%
28%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 1
LAQ
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 2
CRO
35%
27%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
LAQ
2 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 0
LAQ
58%
25%
17%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |