Acireale vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACI
53%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MES
4 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 0
BEN
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 2
ACI
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
REG
0 - 2
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 2
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 0
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
RIM
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
3 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |