Achuapa vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
27
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 1
ZAC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 1
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 2
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 0
ACH
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
3 - 1
MUN
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 1
GUA
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 0
MIX
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
3 - 1
ZAC
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 0
ACH
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |