Achuapa vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
8º
29
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
49% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
COB
1 - 2
ACH
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
IZT
4 - 0
ACH
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 3
TOR
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
ACH
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 2
XIN
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
4 - 2
IZT
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
SLC
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
MIX
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 0
COM
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 1
MIX
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |