Achuapa vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
8º
29
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
49% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
COB
1 - 2
ACH
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
IZT
4 - 0
ACH
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 3
TOR
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
ACH
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 2
XIN
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
4 - 2
IZT
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
SLC
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
MIX
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 0
COM
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 1
MIX
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |