Achuapa vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
COB
2 - 1
ACH
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 0
ACH
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 0
SAY
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 0
ACH
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 1
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
SAC
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAY
3 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
MIX
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
JAL
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |