Achuapa vs Amatitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACH
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 1
SAC
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
ACH
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 0
ANT
40%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COB
1 - 0
ACH
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 1
UNI
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
AMA
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAY
4 - 0
AMA
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 1
COB
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
AMA
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |