Achilles 29 vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BEQ
2 - 1
ACH
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
JUL
2 - 3
ACH
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ACH
4 - 0
SWZ
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 1
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DEB
0 - 5
ACH
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PAP
2 - 3
GEM
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GEM
0 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 0
GEM
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
HOE
0 - 1
GEM
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GEM
4 - 3
VEN
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |