Achilles '12 vs Rheden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AWC
1 - 0
ACH
71%
16%
12%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 0
LUC
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HOO
4 - 1
ACH
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 2
SIL
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RIG
3 - 1
ACH
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rheden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RHE
0 - 1
GER
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BAB
1 - 3
RHE
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RHE
2 - 3
GRO
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DUI
0 - 3
RHE
9%
17%
74%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARH
2 - 0
RHE
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |