Achel vs Herkol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZNH
1 - 3
ACH
12%
19%
70%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HIH
2 - 2
ACH
8%
17%
76%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ACH
5 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FTR
3 - 3
ACH
19%
22%
60%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 2
THA
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Herkol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
BER
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SNG
2 - 1
HER
67%
18%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
FTR
36%
21%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAH
0 - 1
HER
73%
16%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |