CD Acero vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
ACE
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ACE
3 - 0
DEN
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +4 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JOV
2 - 0
ACE
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 3
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
ACE
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
BUR
56%
21%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
LLO
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 2
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAT
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |