Benicense vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benicense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 2
BEN
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIN
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
BEN
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
BEN
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 2
PED
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
TRA
20%
21%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PED
2 - 2
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 3
POB
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RAF
3 - 2
CAL
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAT
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |