Accrington Stanley vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 0
STA
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
STA
3 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
COV
0 - 1
NOT
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 2
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SCU
0 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 3
NOT
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |