Accrington Stanley vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
BOS
1 - 0
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WRE
1 - 3
STA
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STA
1 - 1
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BRO
4 - 0
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 3
STA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 2
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 1
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STO
2 - 0
NOT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
DAR
0 - 1
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |