Accrington Stanley vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
STA
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
BPO
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 4
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAR
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
PLY
21%
26%
53%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
YEO
1 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 2
SWA
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |