League Two Round 27

Accrington Stanley vs Chesterfield analysis

Accrington Stanley Chesterfield
59 ELO 45
11.5% Tilt -6.3%
3874º General ELO ranking 2623º
101º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
72.5%
Accrington Stanley
17%
Draw
10.4%
Chesterfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
Accrington Stanley
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
Chesterfield
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Accrington Stanley
+13%
-2%
Chesterfield

ELO progression

Accrington Stanley
Chesterfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2017
GRI
Grimsby Town
0 - 3
Accrington Stanley
STA
37%
28%
36%
58 55 3 0
26 Dec. 2017
CUM
Carlisle United
3 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
49%
25%
26%
59 57 2 -1
23 Dec. 2017
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 3
Crawley Town
CRA
70%
18%
12%
60 48 12 -1
16 Dec. 2017
LIN
Lincoln City
2 - 0
Accrington Stanley
STA
49%
26%
25%
61 62 1 -1
05 Dec. 2017
LIN
Lincoln City
3 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
40%
26%
34%
62 60 2 -1

Matches

Chesterfield
Chesterfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2018
COV
Coventry City
1 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
66%
21%
14%
46 59 13 0
30 Dec. 2017
CHE
Chesterfield
0 - 0
Colchester United
COL
28%
25%
47%
46 57 11 0
26 Dec. 2017
CHE
Chesterfield
0 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
23%
30%
47 48 1 -1
23 Dec. 2017
STE
Stevenage
5 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
65%
20%
15%
48 55 7 -1
16 Dec. 2017
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
63%
22%
16%
49 59 10 -1