Accrington Stanley vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
STA
0 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
YOR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
WYC
2 - 2
STA
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 0
STA
60%
24%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 2
OPA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 1
CUM
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
CUM
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
YOR
0 - 0
CUM
46%
28%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |