Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
STA
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
STA
1 - 3
OXF
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
STA
2 - 1
YEO
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 3
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 5
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 0
AFC
56%
25%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUT
2 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |