Acassuso vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MER
4 - 1
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 1
ARM
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
STM
0 - 2
ACA
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 1
BRO
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALB
31%
28%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 0
DEF
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAM
0 - 0
DEF
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |