Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
ACA
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SPB
3 - 0
VST
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VST
0 - 0
OLH
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
VST
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VST
1 - 0
LEX
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |