Académica vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 2
ACA
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 1
ARO
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
ACA
31%
28%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
COV
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 2
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 0
VIL
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
LEX
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |