Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 2
VAR
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
FCP
4 - 3
ACA
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 3
SCP
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
SCP
2 - 1
ESP
77%
14%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |