Académica vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
8º
34
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACA
36%
27%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
AMO
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACA
17%
23%
61%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 1
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
ALV
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VST
3 - 2
SCP
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 3
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 2
SCP
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 2
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |