Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
4º
22
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 3
ACA
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
ACA
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
TOR
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCP
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
SPC
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
SPC
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
FEL
31%
27%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPC
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |