Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
8º
5º
9
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
3 - 0
PER
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
ACA
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPC
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 0
AMO
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 2
SPC
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |