Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 1
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
ACA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 2
PEN
51%
27%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACA
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
SPC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SPC
3 - 0
OLH
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 1
SPC
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 1
VIT
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 3
PEN
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |