Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
SCF
1 - 2
ACA
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ACA
0 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ACA
5 - 0
NAV
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ACA
4 - 1
MAI
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
ACA
2 - 1
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
SPC
1 - 1
IMO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
SPC
0 - 2
RIO
30%
26%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SPC
1 - 1
BMA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |