Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 1
ACA
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 3
LEX
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
FAB
6 - 2
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
3 - 0
LGC
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SPB
2 - 1
FAB
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPB
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
SCP
9 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SPB
2 - 1
LEX
60%
20%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
SAL
2 - 3
SPB
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |