Académica vs Os Unidos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
15.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 7
SCP
31%
20%
49%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
80%
12%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
LEX
2 - 2
ACA
30%
22%
48%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
4 - 2
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
SLB
6 - 2
ACA
79%
12%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Os Unidos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
UNI
0 - 5
BEL
22%
19%
59%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
UNI
2 - 4
SCP
23%
19%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
2 - 4
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
SLB
5 - 2
UNI
92%
5%
3%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
OLH
4 - 3
UNI
56%
20%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |