Académica vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 1
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 4
FAM
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 0
ACA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALP
1 - 2
ACA
6%
13%
82%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIL
68%
20%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAF
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FEI
3 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 3
NAC
15%
23%
63%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIN
0 - 3
NAC
5%
10%
85%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | +1 |