Académica vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
8º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ACA
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
GDF
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACA
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 3
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AMO
3 - 4
ACA
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
ALV
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VST
2 - 3
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 4
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |