Académica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
ACA
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 1
PAÇ
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 1
ACA
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VST
1 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
FEI
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |