Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
4 - 2
SPC
58%
21%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 0
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
LGC
1 - 2
LEX
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SAL
1 - 1
LGC
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
LGC
3 - 0
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
5 - 0
LGC
87%
9%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |