Académica vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
8º
5º
24
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALV
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
3 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
SPC
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |