Académica vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
8º
5º
24
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALV
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
48%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
3 - 0
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |