Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 0
NAV
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 1
EST
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 3
ACA
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FCP
3 - 2
UDL
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
70%
21%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
FCP
6%
15%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |