Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 0
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SLB
1 - 2
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 1
ORI
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
FCP
5 - 3
SLB
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
FCP
10 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 1
FCP
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
FCP
3 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |