Académica vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 1
TON
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 1
OLI
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 1
ACV
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARO
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 0
ESP
86%
12%
3%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EST
4 - 2
ARO
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 2
TON
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |