Académica-SF vs União FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica-SF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
3 - 4
ACA
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOC
3 - 4
ACA
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
5 - 0
COV
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 2
ACA
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIM
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
União FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 1
UNI
35%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
UNI
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
ARG
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |