Academia vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
BOG
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
ACA
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
PER
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
ACA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 4
SFE
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 0
SFE
27%
27%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 2
TFC
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
ENV
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
SFE
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |