Academia Quintana vs Caguas Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
5º
4º
4
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 3
BOS
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MET
4 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
MET
40%
25%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PRS
1 - 0
ACA
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
BAY
3 - 2
ACA
51%
22%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caguas Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAG
1 - 6
MET
24%
21%
54%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PRS
2 - 0
CAG
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 0
BAY
19%
18%
63%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 3
MET
24%
21%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
5 - 0
CAG
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |