Lega Pro Group A Round 28

Reggiana vs Modena analysis

Reggiana Modena
65 ELO 60
-15.8% Tilt -8.4%
656º General ELO ranking 441º
38º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
49.1%
Reggiana
27.7%
Draw
23.2%
Modena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
Reggiana
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.2%
Win probability
Modena
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reggiana
+6%
+2%
Modena

ELO progression

Reggiana
Modena
Varese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reggiana
Reggiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2000
USC
Cremonese
2 - 1
Reggiana
REG
32%
28%
40%
65 54 11 0
12 Mar. 2000
REG
Reggiana
1 - 0
Cittadella
CTT
53%
25%
22%
64 60 4 +1
05 Mar. 2000
CAR
Carrarese
1 - 1
Reggiana
REG
35%
27%
38%
64 56 8 0
28 Feb. 2000
REG
Reggiana
0 - 0
Brescello
BRE
62%
23%
15%
65 56 9 -1
13 Feb. 2000
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
1 - 0
Reggiana
REG
21%
26%
53%
65 48 17 0

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2000
MOD
Modena
0 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
38%
29%
33%
61 65 4 0
12 Mar. 2000
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
Modena
MOD
46%
27%
27%
61 59 2 0
05 Mar. 2000
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Cremonese
USC
55%
26%
19%
61 55 6 0
27 Feb. 2000
PIS
Pisa SC
0 - 2
Modena
MOD
56%
27%
18%
60 73 13 +1
13 Feb. 2000
MOD
Modena
0 - 0
AlbinoLeffe
ABN
52%
25%
23%
60 58 2 0