Reggiana vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ASL
3 - 1
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
ABN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
LEC
3 - 4
REG
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
REG
1 - 0
SIE
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 1
REG
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 2
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
CES
1 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
TER
1 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |