Prato vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 3
ACP
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ACP
1 - 0
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
ACP
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VFC
0 - 3
ACP
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ACP
2 - 2
ASD
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MEZ
2 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 1
PRO
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 1
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
5 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |