Prato vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
ACP
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 2
ACL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 2
SPA
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 1
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 2
REG
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
REG
1 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 1
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
ARZ
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 3
PIS
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |