Pavia vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 1
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 2
FCS
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAV
44%
26%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
USP
68%
20%
13%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
USP
2 - 1
MPO
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 1
USP
24%
28%
48%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
USP
4 - 2
FLA
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
USP
45%
28%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |