Pavia vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
USC
0 - 1
PAV
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
LEC
10%
21%
69%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CUN
2 - 0
PAV
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 0
TRE
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
PAV
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
LAT
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 0
FCS
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
COM
2 - 2
TRA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
TRA
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |