Pavia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
69%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CUN
2 - 0
PAV
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 0
TRE
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
PAV
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
PAV
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
LEC
5 - 1
APR
90%
7%
2%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 1
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LEC
4 - 2
ACD
87%
11%
3%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 2
LEC
12%
22%
66%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |