Pavia vs FC Canavese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PAV
0 - 3
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAV
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 0
PAV
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PAV
1 - 0
USI
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 2
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Canavese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
FCC
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FCC
1 - 0
USA
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
FCC
0 - 0
OLB
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FSD
0 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |