Pavia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 4
PAV
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
4 - 2
ASD
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 2
PAV
15%
22%
62%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
DER
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 3
COM
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PRO
3 - 1
COM
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |