Pavia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GIU
1 - 1
PAV
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
PAV
3 - 0
RAV
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAV
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAV
5 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 2
PAV
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 2
PAD
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 1
RAV
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PIZ
3 - 0
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |